Gartner has revised its forecast for worldwide IT spending
in 2013 due to "projected gains in the value of foreign currencies versus the
Overall, IT spending is projected to reach a total of around
$3.7tn this year, which represents a 4.2% growth rate on spending in 2012,
which reached $3.6tn. This has been revised from a forecast of 3.8% growth in
2013 prediction in 3Q12.
"Uncertainties surrounding prospects for an upturn in
global economic growth are the major retardants to IT growth," said
Richard Gordon, managing vice president at Gartner.
"This uncertainty has caused the pessimistic business
and consumer sentiment throughout the world. However, much of this uncertainty
is nearing resolution, and as it does, we look for accelerated spending growth
in 2013 compared to 2012."
It could be a good year for IT, as confidence in cloud
services grow and security concerns are further allayed. However, Gartner’s long
term predictions are now expected to average 4.5% until 2016.
Spending on devices including, PCs, mobiles, tablets and
printers is now expected to reach $666bn this year, a growth rate of 6.3%
on 2012. This has been reduced from initial projections which placed growth at
a rate of 7.9% worldwide.
"The tablet market has seen greater price competition
from android devices as well as smaller, low-priced devices in emerging
Gordon said .
"It is ultimately this shift toward relatively
lower-priced tablets that lowers our average selling prices forecast for 2012
through 2016, which in turn is responsible for slowing device spending growth
in general, and PC and tablet spending growth in particular."
Software spending is expected to increase this year though,
with a total spend of $296bn, which represents a growth rate of 6.4%. This, it
is thought, will be driven by security storage and customer relationships
management software and next year it’s thought that we will see more spending
on big data, content management tools and data quality tools.
However, the biggest sector in IT continues to be telecom
services, although the analysts believe that this will flatten out over the
next couple of years. Gartner predict that mobile data will account from 33% of
the telecoms market by 2016, an increase of around 10%.
For more information and further predictions, IT
professionals and other interested parties can sign up for the "Gartner
Worldwide IT Spending Forecast, 4Q12 Update — 2013 The Year Ahead" webinar next week to be held at 1pm EST on January 8 2013. The event will cover
IT spending in more depth.